The CIM tells a story. I test whether it's true — cross-referencing management claims against independent evidence, surfacing contradictions, and naming what can't be verified. Delivered in days by the person doing the work.
On larger deals, you can pay for a full institutional diligence process. In the lower middle market, the options are fragmented — a patchwork of generalist consultants, research firms, and marketplaces where quality varies widely. The rigor exists at the top of the market, but it doesn't scale down cleanly to a $5M EBITDA deal on a competitive timeline.
A $5M EBITDA deal can't absorb six-figure diligence fees designed for transactions ten times its size. But the risks in a smaller deal are just as capable of destroying returns.
Competitive auctions move fast. By the time a larger firm scopes the engagement, staffs a team, and schedules a kickoff, you've lost two weeks.
Internal deal teams are stretched across multiple opportunities. The cross-referencing, the contradiction hunting, the gap analysis — the work that separates a thin narrative from a durable revenue story — is what gets cut.
Every engagement ends with specific, usable outputs designed for your decision process.
Every key management assertion tested against independent evidence, documented in a Claims vs. Evidence Matrix.
A systematic catalog of what should be present in the narrative but isn't — missing data, avoided questions, absent competitors.
Ranked by severity, sourced, and confidence-rated so you know which risks are real and which are noise.
Not a summary of findings. Not a hedge. A call on the deal with the reasoning behind it, ready for committee.
30-minute call, no charge. I learn the deal context, identify the claims to test, and agree on tier, timeline, and deliverables.
I test management claims against public records, competitor evidence, employee signal, web archives, and market data. Then I separate noise from risk and write the implications in plain English.
Final report plus a 30-minute walkthrough. Key judgments, highest-severity findings, and the editorial verdict: Proceed, Proceed with Conditions, or Do Not Proceed.
Have a live deal? I'll tell you where I'd pressure-test the story first, and whether the work is worth doing.
Discuss a DealThree tiers of buy-side commercial due diligence. Every tier ends with a view: what holds up, what doesn't, and whether the commercial case is strong enough to keep backing.
A standalone go/no-go gate before you commit to full diligence. Key Judgments, Claims vs. Evidence Matrix, and a verdict — nothing else. Should you keep looking, or walk away now?
I start where you do — with the deal thesis and the management narrative. Then I run each key claim through independent verification, looking for contradictions, gaps, and assumptions that haven't been tested.
Every key management claim gets cross-referenced against independent sources — employee reviews, competitor disclosures, web archive snapshots, regulatory filings, customer sentiment. When two sources tell different stories, that divergence gets named, sourced, and assessed for materiality.
A CIM with no customer churn data. A pitch deck that skips competitive positioning. A management team that discusses growth but never mentions the two largest competitors. I catalog the gaps and assess whether each is an oversight or a tell.
Every finding carries a reliability rating adapted from intelligence community methodology — source credibility scored separately from information reliability. You can trace any claim back to its source and see whether it rests on audited filings or a single news article.
I spent seven years running businesses in a regulated industry where incomplete information, compliance errors, and bad assumptions got expensive quickly.
That's where the investigative habit came from: don't accept the clean narrative, look for the missing variable, and keep pushing until the story survives contact with outside evidence.
I use AI for speed, coverage, and pattern detection. I don't outsource judgment. I decide which signals matter, which contradictions are noise, and what the evidence means for the deal.
Every report shows its work. You can trace findings back to sources, see where judgment entered, and explain the conclusion in committee without pretending the answer came from nowhere.
Founder
Email me the CIM, timeline, and where you think the story might break. I'll tell you whether I'm the right fit, what I'd test first, and whether the work is worth doing.
Email Me About a Deal nick@thelongestlever.com — I typically respond within a few hours.